venumpro wrote: 02 Apr 2018 19:09
Panic has arrived. Time to scale in selling puts.
Layed out few in QQQ.
и когда прогнозируется возврат QQQ на предыдущий уровень (января)?
Понятия не имею. All I know is that volatility is high and we are short-term oversold. So, I follow the script by selling puts. Will keep increasing my position into the strength.
Ideally, we should never go back to the highs Тогда, куплю жене сапоги
My position is pretty much neutral. I think in this environment this is the best play at the moment
QQQ May 150 puts trade for almost $4.00. I think this is nobainer
venumpro wrote: 02 Apr 2018 23:54
Понятия не имею. All I know is that volatility is high and we are short-term oversold. So, I follow the script by selling puts.
My position is pretty much neutral.
Интересно как selling puts даёт нейтральную позицию ?
Я не хочу оплачивать ничьи аборты, велферы или детсады. Каждый должен сам принимать решения и нести за них ответственность.
venumpro wrote: 02 Apr 2018 23:54
Понятия не имею. All I know is that volatility is high and we are short-term oversold. So, I follow the script by selling puts.
My position is pretty much neutral.
Интересно как selling puts даёт нейтральную позицию ?
имеется в виду что раз сегодня QQQ закрылся на 155, то он примерно столько же и будет стоить к Маю
Т.е. навар будет 155-150+4 = 9 бкс на вложенные 4 бкс
venumpro wrote: 02 Apr 2018 23:54
Понятия не имею. All I know is that volatility is high and we are short-term oversold. So, I follow the script by selling puts.
My position is pretty much neutral.
Интересно как selling puts даёт нейтральную позицию ?
имеется в виду что раз сегодня QQQ закрылся на 155, то он примерно столько же и будет стоить к Маю
Т.е. навар будет 155-150+4 = 9 бкс на вложенные 4 бкс
venumpro wrote: 02 Apr 2018 23:54
Понятия не имею. All I know is that volatility is high and we are short-term oversold. So, I follow the script by selling puts.
My position is pretty much neutral.
Интересно как selling puts даёт нейтральную позицию ?
I am short bunch of /NQs and high-fliers with calls. So had neutralize overall position with puts, since vol is pumped up.
The month of May is set to be a positive one for the U.S. stock market, bucking a seasonal tendency for weakness and potentially giving historically minded investors reason for optimism since June usually isn’t a good time for stocks either.
According to the Stock Trader’s Almanac, June ranks among the worst months of the year for major indexes. The results are especially poor in midterm election years, as is 2018.. https://www.marketwatch.com/story/dont- ... 2018-05-25
worldCitizen wrote: 26 May 2018 06:54
The month of May is set to be a positive one for the U.S. stock market, bucking a seasonal tendency for weakness and potentially giving historically minded investors reason for optimism since June usually isn’t a good time for stocks either.
According to the Stock Trader’s Almanac, June ranks among the worst months of the year for major indexes. The results are especially poor in midterm election years, as is 2018.. https://www.marketwatch.com/story/dont- ... 2018-05-25
Что значит "worst month" ? Sell short !
Я не хочу оплачивать ничьи аборты, велферы или детсады. Каждый должен сам принимать решения и нести за них ответственность.
worldCitizen wrote: 26 May 2018 06:54
The month of May is set to be a positive one for the U.S. stock market, bucking a seasonal tendency for weakness and potentially giving historically minded investors reason for optimism since June usually isn’t a good time for stocks either.
According to the Stock Trader’s Almanac, June ranks among the worst months of the year for major indexes. The results are especially poor in midterm election years, as is 2018.. https://www.marketwatch.com/story/dont- ... 2018-05-25
Что значит "worst month" ? Sell short !
Да, поскольку подавляющее большинство держит деньги в mutual funds, "worst months" means market goes down or doesn't rise. Я однако недавно открыл несколько bullish spreads, до конца месяца.
worldCitizen wrote: 27 May 2018 04:26Да, поскольку подавляющее большинство держит деньги в mutual funds, "worst months" means market goes down or doesn't rise.
Ну это их проблемы
Я не хочу оплачивать ничьи аборты, велферы или детсады. Каждый должен сам принимать решения и нести за них ответственность.
TheStreet: What could the market impact be if we do get a trade war with China in the next 6-8 months?
Kashkari: It could be profound. A major correction could certainly be possible. Trade has been net positive for global economic growth, and if there was a full blown trade war between the U.S. and China U.S. economic growth would be hurt and Chinese economic growth would be hurt. Global growth would be hurt. And then there would be a shock to confidence and I think you would see equity markets responding to that shock to confidence.
worldCitizen wrote: 27 May 2018 06:55
другое предостережение от Federal Reserve
TheStreet: What could the market impact be if we do get a trade war with China in the next 6-8 months?
Kashkari: It could be profound. A major correction could certainly be possible. Trade has been net positive for global economic growth, and if there was a full blown trade war between the U.S. and China U.S. economic growth would be hurt and Chinese economic growth would be hurt. Global growth would be hurt. And then there would be a shock to confidence and I think you would see equity markets responding to that shock to confidence.
Тогда, куплю жене сапоги 
