Спекуляция Деривативами - Trade Ideas !!!

[venumpro]

Volatility dropped significantly in LULU. Recovered about 30% of yesterday's losses. Resulting position:

May 60 puts
May 52.5 calls
April 50 puts.

The plan for monday is to get out from April completely and roll down May 52.5 calls to 50 strike.

[strogov]

I lost $800 per contract in LULU today
It will take me 6 months to get out from this mess

ouch !

Как там у маяковского было:

Ужас из металла выжал стон.
По большевикам прошло рыданье...

[Beretta]

Как там у маяковского было:

Ужас из металла выжал стон.
По большевикам прошло рыданье...

Это совсем не страшно. Не бывает так, что всегда прав. Если к этому нигатоф - вот, тогда тяжело

Не ошибается тот, кто не торгует, another words..

[venumpro]

To be perfectly honest, LULU result is not an outlier.
1st quarter, I've made 36 earnings trades. 32 times I made money, 2 times I lost little money, and twice I got killed.

In fact, I should have been killed 3 times. So, this quarter is unusually good. I just hate losing money, even a little bit.

[Beretta]

Nice!

But LULU but itself is an outlier, $65 stock does not move by 23% a day. LIke LNKD last year, like FB last year in Jan... It just not statistically likely to hit all of them, and one spreads the risk with other positions.

[venumpro]

Nice!

But LULU but itself is an outlier, $65 stock does not move by 23% a day. LIke LNKD last year, like FB last year in Jan... It just not statistically likely to hit all of them, and one spreads the risk with other positions.

UAA? Every quarter I usually get 3-4 jumpers. It happens quite often, about 10%.

[venumpro]

Closed strangle in SNAP @ 40% of max profit.

Taking this stock off my watch list.

[Beretta]

UAA? Every quarter I usually get 3-4 jumpers. It happens quite often, about 10%.

10% is not "quite often" These are outliers at their finest.

I too have SNAP, 22 straddle, sitting still.

[Beretta]

sold .25 delta $10 wide IC in May AMZN 855/865/965/975 for $4.78.

bot 76.5/81.5/83 BWB for (.20) for tomorrow's earnings

[worldCitizen]

sold .25 delta $10 wide IC in May AMZN 855/865/965/975 for $4.78.

bot 76.5/81.5/83 BWB for (.20) for tomorrow's earnings

What is BWB?
Following classic DTE 45, opened AMZN July 860/ May 870 time put spread.

[Beretta]

What is BWB?

broken wing butterfly. платить не люблю, покупаю за кредит.

про ваш AMZN trade
а не знакомы ли вы случайно с концепцией money press? cheap high extrinsic value long put purchased far in time and short put at about .50 delta "rollable" weekly? long delta as a result. works magic in upside markets. ваша позиция напомнила мне этот money press ...

[worldCitizen]

What is BWB?

broken wing butterfly. платить не люблю, покупаю за кредит.

про ваш AMZN trade
а не знакомы ли вы случайно с концепцией money press? cheap high extrinsic value long put purchased far in time and short put at about .50 delta "rollable" weekly? long delta as a result. works magic in upside markets. ваша позиция напомнила мне этот money press ...

спред показывает Delta -.57, Theta 15, Vega 63.
short leg Delta 30, Theta 34, Vega -110.

It's al Greek to me
Полагаю что показатели для спред не столь важны поскольку я все равно буду делать аджастмент.

[venumpro]

3rd week in a row/ES is back to 2,340. Feel like kid in a candy store. Will reduce my short position tomorrow and hope for another leg up. Will start selling puts around 2,290 if we go lower.

This is the best market since 2015.

[Beretta]

It's al Greek to me
Полагаю что показатели для спред не столь важны поскольку я все равно буду делать аджастмент.

if greek why adjustment?

that's what I meant - regardless you have long delta on your spread... the "trade" I mentioned was also a long delta trade. If you are comfortable with (some) long delta more power to you!

Sold May 31 straddle in OIH for 2.13

[Beretta]

3rd week in a row/ES is back to 2,340. Feel like kid in a candy store. Will reduce my short position tomorrow and hope for another leg up. Will start selling puts around 2,290 if we go lower.

This is the best market since 2015.

2016 was very good to me.

Sold /ES at 2357

[venumpro]

3rd week in a row/ES is back to 2,340. Feel like kid in a candy store. Will reduce my short position tomorrow and hope for another leg up. Will start selling puts around 2,290 if we go lower.

This is the best market since 2015.

2016 was very good to me.

Sold /ES at 2357

Me too. Sold twice as many /NQ's. Looks like Nazdaq is ready to roll over

[venumpro]

Closed 50% of Nasdaq futures. Made 40 points on /NQ.
Good trade. Something must have happened

[venumpro]

Laid back out few /NQ shorts @ 5,408. Why not. Something interesting must be going on

[Beretta]

Laid back out few /NQ shorts @ 5,408. Why not. Something interesting must be going on

война, че

Vol is up, bonds are down (!!! - the word is they still intend to raise rates, fine with me), oil is up. Sold oil, bot VX. Will wait to sell more NQ later on, hopefully BFTD crowd will jack prices a bit more.

[ie]

Laid back out few /NQ shorts @ 5,408. Why not. Something interesting must be going on

война, че

Vol is up, bonds are down (!!! - the word is they still intend to raise rates, fine with me), oil is up. Sold oil, bot VX. Will wait to sell more NQ later on, hopefully BFTD crowd will jack prices a bit more.

война закончилась. как и ожидалось грейт-нейшн опять всех победила.

[Beretta]

война закончилась. как и ожидалось грейт-нейшн опять всех победила.

аха, однако, vol не подает
Продолжаем разговор (с)

[venumpro]

война закончилась. как и ожидалось грейт-нейшн опять всех победила.

аха, однако, vol не подает
Продолжаем разговор (с)

Ну и слава богу. Только не спугните

[worldCitizen]

OTM options decay график не такой как рисуют в книжках!

Theta Driven Exits

phpBB [video]

[Beretta]

  да, да; думаю, а что же мне это "мы с ТиПи" напомнило.. а сегодня, как раз, он про гамму говорил, как она ускоряется, и тоже, мы с ТиПи, мы с ТиПи... Off. Fat period . he is so skinny now..

[venumpro]

Laid back out few /NQ shorts @ 5,408. Why not. Something interesting must be going on

Closed 50% @ 5,367